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UM E-Theses Collection (澳門大學電子學位論文庫)

Title

Does Macao suffer from Dutch disease? : effects of gambling booms on the Macao economy

English Abstract

Based on the seminal work on Dutch Disease written by Corden and Neary (1982) in Economic Journal, this study extends and applies their theoretical model to analyze the effects of gambling boom on economic performance such as sectoral output, employments and wages on gambling, manufacturing and service industries, general price levels and real effective exchange rates. My theoretical findings show that gambling boom in Macao will lead to higher gambling output and employment, ambiguous effects on manufacturing and ser-vice output and their employments, surprisingly lower wages, as well as higher general price levels which implies that higher real effective exchange rates and appreciation of Patacas. In the empirical section, this study adopts the econometric methodology of Error Correction Model (ECM) to analyze the quarterly data of Macao from 1998 to 2006 and test the theoretical hypotheses. By using the number of visitor arrivals to proxy for gambling boom, I find that most theoretical predictions are confirmed by empirical results and statistical significant except the impact on actual wages, Another interesting and important results are that even though output in the service sector rises and in manufacturing sector falls in the short run, they both drop in the long run. Thus, this study finds strong evidence on the existence of Dutch Disease in Macao.

Issue date

2007.

Author

Ke, Jing Ying

Faculty
Faculty of Social Sciences (former name: Faculty of Social Sciences and Humanities)
Department
Department of Economics
Degree

M.Soc.Sc.

Subject

Gambling industry -- economic aspects -- Macau

Macau -- Economic conditions -- 2002-

Supervisor

廖振華

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Location
1/F Zone C
Library URL
991002300519706306