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Macau Periodical Index (澳門期刊論文索引)
- Author
- 伍英文
- Title
- Potential threats to the sustainability of Macau's future economic growth
- Journal Name
- 澳門經濟：澳門經濟學會學報
- Pub. Info
- Dec. 2015, No. 39, pp. 193-222
- Abstract
- Paragraph Headings: 1. Introduction 2. Model structure and application 2.1. Factors that impact growth in the medium run 2.2. Factors that impact growth in the long run 2.3. Regression model 3. Methods 3.1. Actual method approach 3.2. Limitations of method 4. Results 4.1. Regression results and discussion 5. The past and future dynamics of the Macau economy discussion 5.1. Concerning net export outlook: a maturing gaming industry growth 5.2. Momentum in capital accumulation facing disruption 5.3. Bleak future for replicating historical rapid growth 6. Scenario analysis 6.1. Maturing gaming industry（the central case） 6.2. Booming gaming industry（if still at the growth phase） 6.3. Slumping gaming industry 7. Theoretical implication to the Macau economy discussion 7.1. Upside potential of interest rate 7.2. What matters for a sustainable growth along the BGP in the long run 8. Conclusion